World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures

World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures

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Description: Definition of Mega Trends That Frost & Sullivan Tracks: Mega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching impacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives. News Headlines in 2025: Robots have entered our homes for personal use. Big data has entered the Zettabyte era.

Sensory devices guide our everyday lives. 3D printing is commonplace. 4D printing is gaining mainstream acceptance.

Mobile financial transactions are now in crypto-­‐currencies. High Speed Rail to connect from China to Europe. There are 6 million autonomous cars in Europe and North America.

Summer Sale: Low-­‐cost holidays in space.

 
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Contents:
World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications
to Business, Society and Cultures

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1

Definition of Mega Trends That Frost & Sullivan Tracks
Mega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching
impacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives.
Global Mega Trends
Urbanization –
City as a
Customer

Bricks and Clicks

Smart is the New
Green

Innovating to Zero

Social Trends: Gen Y,
Middle Bulge, Sheconomy,
Geosocialization

Connectivity and
Convergence

Future of Energy

Economy: Beyond
BRIC: The Next
Game Changers

Future
Infrastructure
Development

Health, Wellness
and Well Being

Future of Mobility

New Business
Models: Value for
Many
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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2

News Headlines in 2025

Robots  have  entered  our  
homes  for  personal  use.

Sensory  devices  guide  our  
everyday  lives.

Mobile  ;inancial  transactions  
are  now  in  crypto-­‐currencies.

There  are  6  million  
autonomous  cars  in  Europe  
and  North  America.

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Big  data  has  entered  the  
Zettabyte  era.

3D  printing  is  commonplace.  
4D  printing  is  gaining  
mainstream  acceptance  .

High  Speed  Rail  to  connect  
from  China  to  Europe.

Summer  Sale:  Low-­‐cost  
holidays  in  space.  

3

The Mega Trend Matrix
Understanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on Global Economy

High

Mega Trend Matrix, Global, 2025
Connectivity
and
Convergence

Degree of Impact on Global Economy

Infrastructure
Development

Urbanization
New Business
Models

Innovating
to Zero

Economic
Trends

Future of
Energy

Social
Trends

Future of
Mobility

Health,
Wellness, and
Well-Being

Low

Smart is
the New
Green

Bricks and
Clicks

Low

Degree of Certainty

Note: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity within each Mega Trend.
These Mega Trends have been plotted based on quantitative and qualitative reasoning.

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High
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
4

Future Connected Living Ecosystem
Connected life contains three important aspects of connected home, connected city, and connected
work
Connected  Living  describes  a  world  in  which  consumers  use  many  different  devices  to  experience  compelling  
new  services  that  integrate  video,  voice,  and  data  services  to  provide  access  and  ubiquitous  connectivity  
anytime  and  anywhere.  

Connected  Living  Total  Market:  $730  Billion  in  2020
Connected  Home  –  31%



• 
• 
• 
• 



Home  Automation

Home  Energy  

Home  Health

Home  Entertainment

Connected  Work  –15%  

•  Mobility  -­‐  Mobile  

email,  Uni;ied  



•  eGovernance
•  eCitizens


•  Mobile  Working


•  Smart  transportation  

 
cards,  connected  cars

•  Enterprise  Social  

•  E-­‐learning

Communication


Networking

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Connected  City  –  54%

•  Mobile  banking

5

Case Study: Connected Home’s B2B Platform Of Deutsche Telekom
A platform-based approach that brings together leading companies


QIVICON  B2B  Business  Hub  including  partners  
from…
Automation
(E.g  Belkin)

B2B

Security
(E.g  Pax)

Appliances,  
electronics  (A&E)
Miele,  Samsung

Health
(E.g  
Tunstall)

Multimedia
(E.g  
Samsung)

Energy
EnBW,  Solon

•  First  company  
worldwide  to  offer  a  
"software  as  a  service’  
connected  home  
platform
•  Open  and  independent  
B2B  platform  for  
partners

B2B2C

QIVICON  CONNECTED  HOME  PLATFORM  for  
consumers  aggregating  service  from  all  partners.

•  Largest  range  of  
partners  in  the  
connected  home  space

Consumer  Homes
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6

6

Sensorization of Things
Multi-Factor sensory-based trackers revolutionise the field of personal devices
The radial timeline diagram depicts which products are impacted in the next decade by sensory
tracking technology in consumer electronics
Voice

Touch

Facial
Siri Personal
Assistant

PayPal – Pay
with Face

Windows
Speech
Recognition

Amscreen
Face
Scanners

Eye

Tactical
Identification
System

Tobii Eye
Tracking
Analytics
cars

2016

AMOLED
Touch
Screens

Gesture
Leapmotion
Computer
Control

Gaze
controlled
Games

uMoove
Mobile Eye
Scroll phones

2016+

Google 411
Voice
Search

Holographic
Touchscreen

2015

2014

2000s

Sensory Tracking
Technology in
Consumers
Devices

Snapdrago
mobile
technology

Kinect
Gesture
Gaming

2000s

2014

2015

2016

2016+

Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis

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7

Gamification - solutions to generate $8 billion globally within a decade,
driven by increasing need for consumer engagement
Gamification – a customer interaction approach to design behaviours, develop skills and engage customers

The use of game
mechanics and
design in non game
context to impact
engagement and
outcome

Uses

Predicted areas of impact

Current enablers

Future enablers

• Mobile and tablet
applications
• Software programs
• Educational tools

• Employee performance
• Education
• Personal development
• Customer engagement
platforms

• Mobile
• Cloud
• Social networking
• Location based
services

• Gesture control
• Augmented reality

Gamification Market, Global, 2012-2020, ($ billion)

Consumer App Usage Patterns, Global, 2012

8,3

7,5

20 %

6,6
16 %
14 %

4,9
10 %

10 %

3,2
1,8
0,2

Games

Social
Networking

Enetrtainment Maps/Navigation

Video

0,4

0,9

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Deloitte, Google Trends, Frost & Sullivan Analysis.

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8


Sub Trend: Big Data Analytics
90% of the data in the world has been created in the last two years alone
Global  Data  Traf;ic  in  Zettabytes,  2010-­‐2025

Global  Big  Data  Market  in  $  billion,  2010-­‐2025
122.6

100.2

Global  Big  Data  
Market  to  generate  a  
revenue  of  over  $122  
billion  by  2025

Global  Data  Traf;ic  to  
Cross  100  Zettabytes  
annually  by  2025

34.1

87.85

47.37

7.6
3.56

1.2

2010

2015

2020

2025

2010

2015

2020

2025

Source:  IBM,  Cisco,  Frost  &  Sullivan  Analysis

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9

Big Data Deluge
Digital content is doubling every 18 months
Data Traffic per Year, Global, 2012 and 2020

Big Data, Sources & Types of Services, 2014

Structured Data

Unstructured Data

Database

Web blogs

Data Warehouse

+40% /
Year

Social Media

Big Data

ERPs

Big Data is growing at
40% annually

Audio, Video

CRMs

100.2
Zettabyte

1.2
Zettabyte

Excel, CSV

Systems

Online

2012

2020

Big Data Creates New Value Propositions for Businesses
Types of Data-Enabled Services
Social Sentiment
Analysis

Data Analytics

Marketing
Optimization Micromarketing

Open Innovation

Discovery and
Navigation

IT Economics

Security
Intelligence

Asset
Management

Data Visualization

Cloud-connected cars

Facebook Personalized
Marketing

Nissan is looking at
analytics on sensor data
and telematics to improve
self-diagnostics

Facebook analyses location
data to reach more customers
with personalized, targeted
products

Smart Factories

Emergency Responses

Pepsi’s Latin American
division merged customer,
logistics, and manufacturing
data to significantly improve
its plant operations

During Superstorm Sandy,
2012, Twitter hashtags
were analysed to find out
where power, fuel, food and
water were urgently
needed.

Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan Analysis

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Implication: Connectivity Is Pushing Convergence
Connectivity will Accelerate Convergence of Industries, Products, Technologies and Competition

Space Industry

1

Unmanned Technology

Autonomous Cars

PRODUCTS

Building Technologies

3

Space  Based  Solar  
Power

INDUSTRIES

Car

2

Solar Industry

Smart Automation

Smart Home Hubs

TECHNOLOGIES

Image  Source::  `Creative  Commons  and  Dreamstime.
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Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis
11

Convergence is Driving Unconventional Players to Contest for New
Markets!

•  Google    -­‐  Nest  ,  Titan  Aerospace

•  Amazon    -­‐  Dash,  Fire  TV

•  Facebook  –  Oculus,  
Connectivity  Labs
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12

Smart is the New Green
3 Levels of Smart Products and Technologies
A  smart  product  is  
characterized  by  an  intelligent  
sensing  technology  that  is  
increasingly  being  integrated  with  
Internet  technologies,  thereby  
allowing  the  product  to  react  to  and  
communicate  with  the  changing  
environment  around  it.  This  leads  
to  optimal  operations  and  
improvement  in  ef;iciency.

Basic  Sensing  
Mechanism  

LEVEL  1

Smart  
Bandages

Basic  Sensing  
Mechanism  +  One-­‐
way  Data  
Communication

LEVEL  2

Smart  Chip

Smart  Lighting

Sensing  
Mechanism  +  
Two-­‐way  Flow  of  
Data  
Communication

LEVEL  3

Smart  Clouds

Smart  
Windows

Smart  Mobility

Smart  
Technology

Smart  
Buildings

Image  Source:  Dreamstime  and  Connected  Digital  World  
Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan

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Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A Market
Value Of $1.5 Trillion By 2020
Smart  Building

7

,  Smart  City  Market  by  Segments,1  Global  2020

1

CAGR:  8.8%  (2012-­‐2020)

10,21
Smart  Healthcare

6

Smart  Governance    and  Smart  
Education2

20,93

CAGR:  12.4%  (2012-­‐2020)

15,26

CAGR:  6.9%  (2012-­‐2020)

2

Smart  Transportation

5

Smart  Security

3

Smart  City  Market

Smart  Energy

14,11

9,09

CAGR:  14%  (2012-­‐2020)

CAGR:  14.8%  (2012-­‐2020)

13,75
Smart  Infrastructure3
CAGR:  8.9%  (2012-­‐2020)

4

16,65

CAGR:  19.6%  (2012-­‐2020)

Note:  The  graph  represent  the  market  share  of  each  
segment  in  the  smart  city  market.
For  more  information  on  smart  city  market  sectors  please  
refer  to  appendix

1These  numbers  represent  the  entire  smart  solutions  eco-­‐system  in  each  segment  for  both  urban  and  non-­‐urban  panoramas
2Smart  Education  includes  eLearning  services  for  schools,  universities,  enterprises,  and  government  entities  
3Other  Smart  Infrastructure  such  as  sensor  networks,    digital  management  of  water  utilities    not  included  in  other  segments

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Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis.

14

Global Smart Cities in 2025
More than 26 global cities will be Smart Cities in 2025, and more than 50% of which will be from Europe
and North America.
Smart Cities, Global, 2025
Vancouver

Calgary

Seattle
Chicago
San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego

Toronto
Boston
New York

Amsterdam

Copenhagen

Stockholm
Oslo
Helsinki
Glasgow
Berlin
London
Vienna
Paris Luxembourg
Barcelona

Beijing

Tokyo

Chengdu
Tianjin Seoul
Wuhan
Singapore
Delhi
Shenzhen

Jakarta
Select Smart City Projects in

20251

Sydney

Smart Cities in 2025
Johannesburg
1This

list is not exhaustive. The cities highlighted
here have implemented smart city projects in at
least one of eight smart city aspects discussed in
this study

Image Source: Dreamstime and Frost and Sullivan Image Library.
Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index; specific Smart Project Websites for each city; Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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15

Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025
Global Snapshot of Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025
Sustainable/Eco City in 2025
Sustainable/Eco City built from
scratch

Europe

North America
Portland
Sacramento
Oakland
San Diego
Dallas
Houston
Orlando
Austin
Minneapolis
San Jose
Denver
Boston
Ottawa
Montreal
Philadelphia
Washington
DC
Columbus
Edmonton

Cardiff
Brussels
Zurich
Lyon
Frankfurt
Milan
Rome
Cambridge
shire
Marseille
Tampere

Middle East
and Africa
Latin America
Belo Horizonte
Bogotá
Brasília
Rio de Janeiro
São Paulo
Curitiba
Mexico City

Accra
Johannesburg
Cape Town
Durban
Tunis
Masdar City
Doha

Note: Eco Cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance,
city planning, energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from scratch.
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Geneva
Graz
Riga
Vilnius
Metz
Tubingen
Montpellier
Bordeaux
Casablanca
Norwich
Hamburg

Manchester
Gothenburg
Isle of Wight
Glasgow
Liverpool
Dublin
Marseille
Bergen
Edinburgh
Nantes
Gyor

Istanbul
Bursa
Ankara
Eskisehir
Izmir
Denizli
Antalya
Adana
Edinburgh

Asia-Pacific & Australia
GIFT
Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, Tianjin
Nanjing
Hong Kong
Foshan
Guangzhou
Wuxi
Osaka
Yokohama
Wanzhuang Eco-city, Hebei
Medan
Palembang
Jakarta
Surabaya
Denpasar
Makasar
Balikpapan
Adelaide
Moreland
Source: Siemens Green Index and Frost & Sullivan analysis.
16

The Next Game Changers in 2025 (Beyond BRICSs)
High GDP growth, improved FDIs, and rapid industrialization to give rise to a new lot of emerging
countries, beyond BRIC nations, that contend to become next decade’s economic leaders

Turkey
Poland

$1,041
Billion

$2,327
Billion

Mexico

$2,441
Billion

$653
Billion

Egypt

$730
Billion

Nigeria
Next Game Changers
The trillion dollar economies
Note : The figure denotes GDP at
market prices. Forecasts to 2025
have been extrapolated based on
Nominal GDP growth rate projections

$772
Billion

$3,071
Billion
$635
Billion

Thailand
$323
Billion

Vietnam
$483
Billion

Philippines

Indonesia

South Africa

Source: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan,

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New Business Models

Examples
B2C

B2B

Co-­‐Creation  (Eg.  Quirky.com)

Pay  as  you  Go  Insurance

On-­‐Demand  Services

Digital  Media  /  Online  Streaming  Collapsing  
Video  Rentals:  eg.  Net;lix



Online  Platforms

Alliance  Based  Models
Integrator  Models  (IBM  Smarter  Planet)

• 
• 
• 
• 
• 

E  Rental  (Workspaces)
E  Distribution  (eg.  Deliv)
E  Exchanges
Hypermarkets
E-­‐Travel:  Concur

Value  for  Many  
• 
• 
• 

(Low  Cost  Models    -­‐  Tata  Nano)
Group  Buying  (Groupon)
Micro  Financing  

Online  Stock  Trading  –  traditional  brokers

Sharing:  Corporate  Car  Sharing

P2P/
C2C

Online  Retail  (Eg.  Ebay)

G2B

Open  Business  Model  (Online  Bidding  of  

G2G

E-­‐Records,  E-­‐Consultancy  -­‐  (e.g  G2G  
Information  System  like  NEGIS)

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• 

E-­‐Auction  (eg.  Taobao)

Sharing  –  Car  Sharing
Peer-­‐to-­‐peer  lending
PPP    -­‐  BOO,  BOT,  BOM

Projects)  –  (e.g  Chicago  Open  Data  Model)

18

Future of Clicks in Retail Industry
Global Online Retail Sales To Reach $4.3 Trillion By 2025 Accounting for 19% of Total Retail

United Kingdom
$0.21
Trillion
26%

$23  
Trillion

China
$1.30
Trillion
18%

$11.8  
Trillion

$11.25  
95%
Trillion

5%

10%

Germany
$0.09
Trillion

81%

$4.3
Trillion

24%

$18.7
Trillion

15%

19%

Japan
$0.17
Trillion

United
States
$1.32
Trillion

$0.55  
Trillion

2011
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Online  Sales

Non-­‐Online  Sales

2025
19

Case Study: Audi City London - First Digital Car Showroom
Example of Future Digital Car Showrooms that will be “Unlimited”, Personalised, Socially Connected
and Digitally Integrated

Fully Digital,
Retail-Style Cyberstore
One-stop Experience
for Entire Model Range

Highly personalized
customer dialogue
Gamification, Augmented
Reality Offers Tailormade services
Specially Trained Dealer
Personnel Interactivity

London Flagship Store
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Virtual Stores—New Generation of Grocery Shopping
Virtual stores are simulated brick and mortar stores that offer interactive shopping in public places
by creating virtual products, which buyers can buy and order using their Smartphones.

Tesco’s Subway Virtual Store

2

Choose
grocery item
from “virtual
shelves”

Smartphone App Registers
Product of Choice

Number 1 shopping app in Korea,
with over 900,000 downloads

3

The product lands in
customer’s “virtual cart”

Online sales increased by
130.0% since launch in 2011

The product is
delivered to the
customer at a time
and date of his or
her choice

4

1

Virtual Store—The FourthGeneration Retail Store

Single virtual store opened at subway

Home plus online membership increased
by 76.0% since launch in 2011
Image Source: iStockphoto and Dreamstime Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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3D Printing
The consumer and commercial products are expected to account for 28% of 3D printing revenues by
2020
3D printing is a computer-driven additive manufacturing
technology used for producing the final product from a
digital model by laying down successive layers of material.

Global 3D Printing Market, Segment Breakdown,
2009 and 2020

2020

Total Market ($Billion)
Design

Print

Finish

2009
$7.1 Billion
3D printing begins
with creating a digital
model of the object,
usually using CAD
software

The 3D printer slices
model into numerous
digital cross-sections, and
automatically builds the
model using materials like
thermoplastics

The final 3D printed
object is then cleaned
to remove overhung
material and is
polished for final use

$1.1 Billion

By Industry (% Share)
Consumer & Commercial

3D Printed Products in Key Industries

5%

Automotive
16 %

• Human Organs
• Medical Devices
• Body Tissues
• Nano-medicine
• Pharmaceuticals

• Concept Modeling
• Prototypes
• Spare Parts
• End-use Parts
• Tooling

• Manufacturing Ondemand
• Cutting Tools
• Customization
• Domestic Production

Industrial Application
15 %
Aerospace & Defense
Medical and Dental

Healthcare

Automotive

28 %

Architecture

Manufacturing

12 %

20 %
4%

Other
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis

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Rise of the Robots
Robots priced between $1,566 and $4,699 could enter our personal lives commercializing the personal
robots market by 2020
Commercialization of Robotics
Steep fall in personal robots ownership prices from $150,000 to $1,000
ASIMO = $150,000
• 
• 
• 

LUNA = $1,000

2004

• 

Commercial
Currently available on auction
basis
Expected to retail between $1,000
and $3,000

2013

Global Personal Robots Market
2010

• 
• 

Non-commercial
Not for sale
Available only on lending
basis

2020

Robots at Home (Personal Robot Applications)

$1.29
billion

Robots as Teaching
Assistants

Robots for household
care

Robots as Nannies

Robots for
companionship

$17.39
billion

Robotics for Elderly
Care: Assisted Living

Robots as personal
assistants
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis

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23

Executive Summary – Top Ten Transformational Shifts by 2020

1
7

High

8

Circular
Economy

3D Printing

10

Sharing
Economy

Resource
Nexus

Connected
Living

Big Data
Clouds

3

4

Smart Cities

Wearable
Computing

5

Rise of
Personal
Robotics

Minor

2

6

9

Low

Growth Attractiveness

Assessed based on market attractiveness in terms of revenue /
shipment.

While all Mega Trends are important, the selection and raking of these trends indicate which seismic
shifts will have particular relevance in shaping the landscape in which the world will evolve this decade.

Sensorization
of Things

Conservative

Radical

Impact on Future Products and Services
Measured based on most impact on future products and services capabilities resulting in new convergent and
radical devices
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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Top Industries of the Future
Top Mature Industries by 2020

ICT
Pharma &
Healthcare

Aerospace
& Defence

Energy,
Power
Oil & Gas

Chemical,
Materials &
Food

Automobile

Engineering &
Construction
Metals &
Mining

Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion)
1Relative

Growth Potential2 (2012-2030)

Growth Potential2 (2012-2030)

Electronics

Top Emerging Industries by 2020

3D
Printing
Big
Data

Virtual
Commerce

Urban
Logistics
Cyber
Security
Alternative
Energy

Waste
Management

Cloud
Computing

Managed
Services
Wellness
Industry

Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion)

score assigned for potential annual turnover (revenue / shipment) of the industry in 2025

1Measured

by qualitative factors that has the scope to create a boom in the industry such as new patents, innovation cycle and industry impact
Source: Bloomberg, Frost and Sullivan Analysis

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25

Some Key Strategic Challenges

1

(Fair) Trade

Providing social premium for community development projects; Balance between
self-reliance and global market integration; Fostering export dependency

2

Collaborative Ecosystem

Shift from social intranet to online collaborative workspaces; Directly embedding
collaborative processes to improve the speed and quality of their decisions

3

Economic Shifts

Changes in business strategies; China and India to lead the global economy in the
near future; Looking Beyond BRICS

4

The Retail Issue

Look at internet retailing; look at the format of your retailing offer and how this fits
into new trends for micro solutions driven by convenience

5

Complexity Management

New value chain partnerships; Integration of product innovations; Facing the impact
of adjacent markets

6

Sustainable Development

Incorporation of increased interdisciplinary planning; Adopting new business models
for collective ownership

7

Where You Live

Is your City ‘Smart’ or ‘Sustainable’; What are your City Planning Policies ?

8

Government Inhibition

Focus on public-based solutions; Reduced foreign direct investments;

9

Sustainable and Livable
Cities

Need for more green initiatives; demand for carbon neutral energy production and
advanced spatial planning and urban design solutions

10

Organizational Changes

Need for more integrated solutions; Dynamic and flexible working practices; exterior
innovations; structural changes
Source: Frost & Sullivan

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From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to
Strategy Implementation
Macro        To        Micro
Mega  Trend

Analysis  of  Opportunities  and  
Unmet  Needs

Selected  trends  that  impact  your  
business  and  markets

Sub  Trend
A  sub-­‐layer  of  trends  that  has  a  
wide  ranging  impact  

Impact  on  Future  Product/  
Technology/Offer

Impact  to  Your  Industry/Region
Visualising  the  roadmap  of  these  critical  
forces  through  scenario-­‐building  and  macro  
economic  forecasts

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Learn More About “New Mega Trends”

Published  Book:

New  Mega  Trends  

Implications  for  our  Future  Lives  

By  Sarwant  Singh  
   
   
Publisher:  Palgrave  Macmillan
http://www.palgrave.com/products/title.aspx?
pid=577423


Join  Our  Mega  Trend  Group  On

Mega  Trends:  Strategic  Planning  and  Innovation  Based  
on  Frost  &  Sullivan  Research

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Mega Trending on My Trip to Helsinki.....

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Thank You !

Iain Jawad
Director Strategic Partnerships
(+44) (0)20 7343 8311
Iain.jawad@frost.com

“We Accelerate Growth”

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